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Monday, August 17, 2026

7 games on the slate · 3 high-confidence games

3 High 4 Medium 0 Low

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

Blake Snell vs Tomoyuki Sugano · 2026-08-18T00:40Z

HIGH LEAN warning 92°F, 6mph E (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 3.2 points favors the away starter. day after night

Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Model Edge: 17.3% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Framber Valdez vs Carmen Mlodzinski · 2026-08-17T23:00Z

HIGH LEAN warning 79°F, 3mph N (calm), 74% humidity

Model finds lean 13.2% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 Model Edge: 13.2% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox

Mitch Bratt vs Alec Gamboa · 2026-08-17T23:10Z

HIGH LEAN warning 70°F, 3mph E (calm), 93% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the home starter. away traveled 2292mi

Forecast: UNDER 9.0 Model Edge: 11.3% Unit Sizing: 0.15

Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs

Luis Castillo vs Shota Imanaga · 2026-08-18T00:05Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 72°F, 2mph SE (calm), 83% humidity

Day after night

Forecast: OVER 8.0 Model Edge: 9.7% Unit Sizing: 0.15

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds

Andre Pallante vs Rhett Lowder · 2026-08-17T22:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 80°F, 7mph W (calm), 78% humidity

Model finds lean 8.6% edge in this matchup

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (-119) Model Edge: 8.6% Unit Sizing: 0.2

San Diego Padres @ New York Mets

Walker Buehler vs Nolan McLean · 2026-08-17T23:10Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 80°F, 7mph NE (calm), 78% humidity

Away traveled 2436mi

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 8.6% Unit Sizing: 0.15

Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins

Martín Pérez vs Bailey Ober · 2026-08-17T23:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 84°F, 10mph SW (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (84°f)

Forecast: Atlanta Braves (-124) Model Edge: 6.8% Unit Sizing: 0.2

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 3 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
  • Strongest signal: LAD at COL with 17.3% model edge
  • Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot

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