● 6 High
● 5 Medium
● 0 Low
Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros
George Klassen vs Cristian Javier · 2026-08-19T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 19.3% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Los Angeles Angels (+162)
Model Edge: 19.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Athletics @ Kansas City Royals
Jack Perkins vs Daniel Lynch IV · 2026-08-18T23:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 90°F, 7mph S (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Kansas City Royals (-133)
Model Edge: 17.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox
Merrill Kelly vs Ranger Suarez · 2026-08-18T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 73°F, 8mph E (calm), 77% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 3.3 points favors the home starter. away traveled 2292mi
Forecast: Boston Red Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 17.7%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
San Diego Padres @ New York Mets
Robbie Ray vs Zac Thornton · 2026-08-18T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 76°F, 7mph S (calm), 88% humidity
Away traveled 2436mi
Forecast: New York Mets +1.5
Model Edge: 17.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies
Eric Lauer vs Ryan Feltner · 2026-08-19T00:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 92°F, 5mph NE (calm)
Model finds lean 14.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: OVER 11.5
Model Edge: 14.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies
Cade Gibson vs Zack Wheeler · 2026-08-18T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 87°F, 5mph NW (calm)
Model finds lean 13.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
Model Edge: 13.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs
Bryan Hudson vs Kevin Gausman · 2026-08-19T00:05Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 8mph SW (blowing out), 77% humidity
Weather factor in play (74°f)
Forecast: Chicago White Sox (+161)
Model Edge: 8.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins
Tyler Mahle vs Zebby Matthews · 2026-08-18T23:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 83°F, 8mph NW (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (83°f)
Forecast: OVER 8.5
Model Edge: 8.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers
Jackson Kent vs Cal Quantrill · 2026-08-19T00:05Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 6.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: OVER 8.0
Model Edge: 6.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
José Soriano vs Nick Martinez · 2026-08-18T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 6.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 7.5
Model Edge: 6.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
Kyle Leahy vs Andrew Abbott · 2026-08-18T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 83°F, 6mph NW (calm)
Model finds lean 5.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (-116)
Model Edge: 5.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 11-game slate
- Strongest signal: LAA at HOU with 19.3% model edge
- 2 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
Unlock all 11 forecasts
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