● 6 High
● 2 Medium
● 0 Low
Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox
Grant Holmes vs Anthony Kay · 2026-08-20T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 12mph N (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (74°f)
Forecast: Chicago White Sox +1.5
Model Edge: 13.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers
Andrew Alvarez vs Jacob deGrom · 2026-08-21T00:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 13.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Washington Nationals (+161)
Model Edge: 13.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Athletics @ Kansas City Royals
Gage Jump vs Randy Dobnak · 2026-08-20T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 4mph NE (calm), 77% humidity
Model finds lean 12.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Kansas City Royals (-136)
Model Edge: 12.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros
Grayson Rodriguez vs Peter Lambert · 2026-08-21T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.0 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Houston Astros -1.5
Model Edge: 12.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
Michael McGreevy vs Brady Singer · 2026-08-20T16:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 3mph W (calm), 85% humidity
Model finds lean 11.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals (-112)
Model Edge: 11.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles
Gerrit Cole vs Kyle Bradish · 2026-08-20T22:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 91°F, 11mph S (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (91°f)
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 10.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians
Landen Roupp vs Gavin Williams · 2026-08-20T17:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 8mph N (calm), 67% humidity
Away traveled 2160mi
Forecast: San Francisco Giants (+187)
Model Edge: 6.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
Shane Bieber vs Ian Seymour · 2026-08-20T17:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays (-161)
Model Edge: 5.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 8-game slate
- Strongest signal: ATL at CWS with 13.8% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot
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