● 6 High
● 3 Medium
● 0 Low
Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Rhett Lowder vs Michael Soroka · 2026-08-23T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter. away traveled 1577mi
Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
Model Edge: 16.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners
David Peterson vs Kade Anderson · 2026-08-22T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Away traveled 1729mi
Forecast: Chicago Cubs (+112)
Model Edge: 15.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jared Jones vs Tarik Skubal · 2026-08-22T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 91°F, 8mph W (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.5 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (91°f)
Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
Model Edge: 14.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
Jake Irvin vs Eury Pérez · 2026-08-22T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 13.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Miami Marlins -1.5
Model Edge: 13.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies
Tanner Bibee vs Gabriel Hughes · 2026-08-23T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 90°F, 6mph S (calm)
Model finds lean 13.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+140)
Model Edge: 13.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox
Blade Tidwell vs Patrick Sandoval · 2026-08-22T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 6mph NE (calm), 82% humidity
Away traveled 2689mi
Forecast: San Francisco Giants (+204)
Model Edge: 10.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers
Ryan Johnson vs Cody Bradford · 2026-08-22T23:05Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 3.2 points favors the home starter
Forecast: OVER 8.0
Model Edge: 8.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers
Martín Pérez vs Logan Henderson · 2026-08-22T18:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 7.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 7.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox
Christian Scott vs Luis Castillo · 2026-08-22T23:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 7mph N (calm), 72% humidity
Model finds lean 5.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: New York Mets (+106)
Model Edge: 5.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
- Strongest signal: CIN at AZ with 16.1% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot
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