● 4 High
● 5 Medium
● 0 Low
Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners
Shota Imanaga vs Bryce Miller · 2026-08-23T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 19.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Seattle Mariners +1.5
Model Edge: 19.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox
Nolan McLean vs Sean Newcomb · 2026-08-23T18:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 72°F, 10mph N (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (72°f)
Forecast: Chicago White Sox (+108)
Model Edge: 16.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox
Matt Wilkinson vs Jake Bennett · 2026-08-23T19:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 6mph SE (calm), 77% humidity
Model finds lean 15.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: San Francisco Giants (+212)
Model Edge: 15.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
Nick Martinez vs Shane Baz · 2026-08-23T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 80°F, 10mph W (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (80°f)
Forecast: Baltimore Orioles +1.5
Model Edge: 11.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
José Soriano vs Carlos Rodón · 2026-08-23T17:35Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 6mph S (calm), 89% humidity
Model finds lean 8.5% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 7.5
Model Edge: 8.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
Jackson Kent vs Janson Junk · 2026-08-23T17:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 8.4% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Washington Nationals (+158)
Model Edge: 8.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Leahy vs Cristopher Sánchez · 2026-08-23T17:35Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 9mph W (crosswind), 73% humidity
Weather factor in play (78°f)
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 6.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies
Foster Griffin vs Tomoyuki Sugano · 2026-08-23T19:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 94°F, 9mph N (blowing in)
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Colorado Rockies (+155)
Model Edge: 5.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Lake Bachar vs Blake Snell · 2026-08-23T20:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 98°F, 9mph SW (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.4 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (98°f)
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 5.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 9-game slate
- Strongest signal: CHC at SEA with 19.4% model edge
- 2 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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