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Monday, August 24, 2026

5 games on the slate · 1 high-confidence game

1 High 4 Medium 0 Low

Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants

Chase Burns vs Carson Whisenhunt · 2026-08-25T01:45Z

HIGH LEAN warning 62°F, 13mph W (blowing out), 85% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 2.9 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (62°f)

Forecast: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 Model Edge: 17.9% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers

Drew Rasmussen vs Framber Valdez · 2026-08-24T22:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 76°F, 9mph NW (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (76°f)

Forecast: Detroit Tigers (+137) Model Edge: 9.6% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Minnesota Twins @ Athletics

Zebby Matthews vs Jeffrey Springs · 2026-08-25T01:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 91°F, 11mph SW (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (91°f). away traveled 1570mi

Forecast: Minnesota Twins (-162) Model Edge: 6.7% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

Ranger Suarez vs Sandy Alcantara · 2026-08-24T22:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 6.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Miami Marlins (+129) Model Edge: 6.0% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres

Braxton Ashcraft vs Robbie Ray · 2026-08-25T01:40Z

MEDIUM LEAN warning 76°F, 6mph SW (calm), 80% humidity

Away traveled 2112mi

Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates (+111) Model Edge: 5.8% Unit Sizing: 0.2

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 1 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
  • Strongest signal: CIN at SF with 17.9% model edge
  • 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
  • Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot

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