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Sunday, September 6, 2026

8 games on the slate · 7 high-confidence games

● 7 High ● 1 Medium ● 0 Low

New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres

Gerrit Cole vs Michael King · 2026-09-06T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 90°F, 8mph N (blowing in)

Model finds lean 16.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 7.0 Model Edge: 16.0% Unit Sizing: 0.35

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros

Eduardo Rodriguez vs Peter Lambert · 2026-09-06T18:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 14.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 14.4% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Athletics @ Seattle Mariners

Gage Jump vs Bryan Woo · 2026-09-06T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 14.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Seattle Mariners -1.5 Model Edge: 14.0% Unit Sizing: 0.25

San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets

Cesar Perdomo vs Christian Scott · 2026-09-06T17:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 74°F, 7mph N (calm)

Away traveled 2571mi

Forecast: New York Mets -1.5 Model Edge: 13.6% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins

Clay Holmes vs Tyler Phillips · 2026-09-06T17:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 12.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 12.8% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

Kyle Harrison vs Brady Singer · 2026-09-06T16:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 73°F, 6mph NE (calm)

Model finds lean 12.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Model Edge: 12.1% Unit Sizing: 0.25

St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies

Kyle Leahy vs Tanner Gordon · 2026-09-06T19:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 88°F, 6mph NE (calm)

Model finds lean 10.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 Model Edge: 10.8% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox

Bailey Ober vs Bryan Hudson · 2026-09-06T22:20Z

MEDIUM LEAN – warning 74°F, 10mph NE (crosswind)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (74°f)

Forecast: Chicago White Sox -1.5 Model Edge: 9.8% Unit Sizing: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 7 high-edge games across today's 8-game slate
  • Strongest signal: NYY at SD with 16.0% model edge
  • 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
  • Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot

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