● 4 High
● 1 Medium
● 0 Low
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
Jonah Tong vs Eury Pérez · 2026-09-07T17:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 19.7% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Miami Marlins -1.5
Model Edge: 19.7%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
Michael McGreevy vs Logan Webb · 2026-09-08T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 72°F, 13mph W (blowing out)
Weather factor in play (72°f). away traveled 1740mi
Forecast: San Francisco Giants -1.5
Model Edge: 17.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
Grayson Rodriguez vs Brayan Bello · 2026-09-07T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 77°F, 10mph NW (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (77°f). away traveled 2578mi
Forecast: Boston Red Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 15.7%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles
Joey Cantillo vs Trevor Rogers · 2026-09-07T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 81°F, 6mph N (calm)
Model finds lean 12.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Baltimore Orioles -1.5
Model Edge: 12.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres
Jake Irvin vs Nick Pivetta · 2026-09-07T21:10Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 95°F, 12mph NW (blowing in)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the home starter. away traveled 2271mi
Forecast: San Diego Padres -1.5
Model Edge: 9.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
- Strongest signal: NYM at MIA with 19.7% model edge
- 2 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
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