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Wednesday, September 9, 2026

6 games on the slate · 6 high-confidence games

● 6 High ● 0 Medium ● 0 Low

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers

Zebby Matthews vs Keider Montero · 2026-09-09T17:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 81°F, 11mph SW (blowing in), 75% humidity

Model finds lean 19.5% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5 Model Edge: 19.5% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves

Griffin Jax vs Reynaldo Lopez · 2026-09-09T23:15Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 90°F, 4mph E (calm)

Model finds lean 16.9% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Model Edge: 16.9% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics

Braydon Fisher vs Brady Basso · 2026-09-09T19:05Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 92°F, 7mph N (calm)

Away traveled 2253mi

Forecast: UNDER 9.0 Model Edge: 15.6% Unit Sizing: 0.35

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox

Ryan Johnson vs Jake Bennett · 2026-09-09T22:45Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 78°F, 12mph S (blowing out)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.8 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (78°f)

Forecast: Boston Red Sox -1.5 Model Edge: 13.9% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

Kevin Gausman vs Logan Henderson · 2026-09-09T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 12.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Model Edge: 12.8% Unit Sizing: 0.25

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins

Robert Stock vs Janson Junk · 2026-09-09T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 11.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Miami Marlins -1.5 Model Edge: 11.8% Unit Sizing: 0.15

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 6-game slate
  • Strongest signal: MIN at DET with 19.5% model edge
  • 2 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

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