● 4 High
● 1 Medium
● 0 Low
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
Andrew Abbott vs Dustin May · 2026-09-11T23:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 19.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Model Edge: 19.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Aaron Nola vs Chris Sale · 2026-09-11T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 79°F, 14mph S (blowing out), 68% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 3.0 points favors the home starter. weather factor in play (79°f)
Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model Edge: 15.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
Wilber Dotel vs Shota Imanaga · 2026-09-11T18:20Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 75°F, 8mph SE (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (75°f)
Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
Model Edge: 14.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
New York Mets @ New York Yankees
Nolan McLean vs Carlos Rodón · 2026-09-11T23:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 76°F, 5mph NW (calm)
Model finds lean 14.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 14.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers
Mason Adams vs Framber Valdez · 2026-09-11T22:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 76°F, 8mph E (calm)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5
Model Edge: 9.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
- Strongest signal: CIN at MIL with 19.6% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
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