● 7 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Kumar Rocker vs Brandon Pfaadt · 2026-09-13T00:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 16.8% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
Model Edge: 16.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers
Tanner Gordon vs Andrew Sears · 2026-09-12T17:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 79°F, 8mph SW (crosswind), 66% humidity
Weather factor in play (79°f)
Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5
Model Edge: 15.8%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
New York Mets @ New York Yankees
Zac Thornton vs Gerrit Cole · 2026-09-12T17:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 79°F, 9mph S (crosswind)
Weather factor in play (79°f)
Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5
Model Edge: 15.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins
Daniel Espino vs Connor Prielipp · 2026-09-12T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 13mph NW (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (74°f)
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Edge: 13.5%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals
Sean Newcomb vs Kyle Leahy · 2026-09-12T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 87°F, 6mph W (calm)
Model finds lean 13.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.5
Model Edge: 13.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays
Peter Lambert vs Ian Seymour · 2026-09-12T22:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 12.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 8.0
Model Edge: 12.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
Brady Singer vs Kyle Harrison · 2026-09-12T23:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 11.9% edge in this matchup
Forecast: OVER 8.5
Model Edge: 11.9%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 7 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
- Strongest signal: TEX at AZ with 16.8% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
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