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Sunday, September 13, 2026

5 games on the slate · 5 high-confidence games

● 5 High ● 0 Medium ● 0 Low

Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins

Tanner Bibee vs Joe Ryan · 2026-09-13T18:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 68°F, 8mph NW (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (68°f)

Forecast: Minnesota Twins -1.5 Model Edge: 19.0% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Cal Quantrill vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 2026-09-13T20:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 18.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 18.4% Unit Sizing: 0.35

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs

Bubba Chandler vs Matthew Boyd · 2026-09-13T18:20Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 72°F, 11mph N (blowing in)

Model finds lean 18.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: OVER 6.5 Model Edge: 18.1% Unit Sizing: 0.35

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

Andrew Painter vs Grant Holmes · 2026-09-13T17:35Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 82°F, 8mph NW (calm), 72% humidity

Model finds lean 17.0% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Model Edge: 17.0% Unit Sizing: 0.5

San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants

Nick Pivetta vs Logan Webb · 2026-09-13T23:20Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 69°F, 18mph NW (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (69°f)

Forecast: UNDER 7.0 Model Edge: 11.9% Unit Sizing: 0.05

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 5 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
  • Strongest signal: CLE at MIN with 19.0% model edge
  • 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals

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