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Tuesday, September 15, 2026

7 games on the slate · 7 high-confidence games

● 7 High ● 0 Medium ● 0 Low

Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Janson Junk vs Michael Soroka · 2026-09-16T01:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Away traveled 1976mi

Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 Model Edge: 17.2% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays

Jack Perkins vs Griffin Jax · 2026-09-15T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Away traveled 2379mi

Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Model Edge: 14.9% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels

Logan Gilbert vs Ryan Johnson · 2026-09-16T01:38Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 73°F, 10mph S (blowing out), 72% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 2.3 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (73°f)

Forecast: Seattle Mariners -1.5 Model Edge: 13.9% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

Davis Martin vs Foster Griffin · 2026-09-15T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 85°F, 10mph S (blowing out)

Weather factor in play (85°f)

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 Model Edge: 13.2% Unit Sizing: 0.25

New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins

Max Fried vs Bailey Ober · 2026-09-15T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 70°F, 9mph NW (blowing out)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (70°f)

Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5 Model Edge: 11.3% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs

Martín Pérez vs Kevin Gausman · 2026-09-15T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 77°F, 1mph W (calm), 88% humidity

Model finds lean 10.4% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Chicago Cubs -1.5 Model Edge: 10.4% Unit Sizing: 0.25

San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals

Blade Tidwell vs Andre Pallante · 2026-09-15T23:45Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 93°F, 9mph SE (crosswind)

Weather factor in play (93°f). away traveled 1740mi

Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 Model Edge: 10.0% Unit Sizing: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 7 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
  • Strongest signal: MIA at AZ with 17.2% model edge
  • 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
  • Model leans underdog in 2 high-edge spots

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