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Wednesday, September 16, 2026

7 games on the slate · 7 high-confidence games

● 7 High ● 0 Medium ● 0 Low

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

Anthony Kay vs Parker Messick · 2026-09-16T17:00Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 77°F, 6mph NW (calm), 77% humidity

Model finds lean 18.2% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 Model Edge: 18.2% Unit Sizing: 0.5

New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins

Carlos Rodón vs Zebby Matthews · 2026-09-16T17:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 67°F, 6mph SE (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the away starter

Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5 Model Edge: 17.5% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays

Keider Montero vs Max Scherzer · 2026-09-16T19:07Z

HIGH STRONG – warning Dome — weather neutral

Pitcher fip gap of 1.9 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Detroit Tigers +1.5 Model Edge: 15.2% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds

Blake Snell vs Andrew Abbott · 2026-09-16T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 95°F, 5mph W (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 3.0 points favors the away starter. away traveled 1892mi

Forecast: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Model Edge: 14.9% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs

JR Ritchie vs Shota Imanaga · 2026-09-16T23:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 64°F, 8mph N (calm), 95% humidity

Model finds lean 13.6% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Chicago Cubs -1.5 Model Edge: 13.6% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays

Brady Basso vs Nick Martinez · 2026-09-16T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Away traveled 2379mi

Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Model Edge: 10.4% Unit Sizing: 0.05

San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals

Anthony Molina vs Matthew Liberatore · 2026-09-16T17:15Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 88°F, 4mph W (calm), 68% humidity

Away traveled 1740mi

Forecast: OVER 8.0 Model Edge: 10.1% Unit Sizing: 0.2

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 7 high-edge games across today's 7-game slate
  • Strongest signal: CWS at CLE with 18.2% model edge
  • Model leans underdog in 3 high-edge spots

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