● 3 High
● 1 Medium
● 0 Low
Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays
Jeffrey Springs vs Drew Rasmussen · 2026-09-17T17:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 3.6 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Model Edge: 19.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros
Seth Lugo vs Miguel Ullola · 2026-09-17T23:15Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 15.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Edge: 15.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.35
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Kyle Harrison vs Wilber Dotel · 2026-09-17T16:35Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 80°F, 8mph W (blowing out), 81% humidity
Weather factor in play (80°f)
Forecast: UNDER 9.0
Model Edge: 12.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Aaron Nola vs Nolan McLean · 2026-09-17T23:15Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 77°F, 8mph S (calm), 73% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter
Forecast: New York Mets -1.5
Model Edge: 8.7%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 3 high-edge games across today's 4-game slate
- Strongest signal: OAK at TB with 19.1% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
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