● 4 High
● 1 Medium
● 0 Low
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Andrew Painter vs Christian Scott · 2026-09-19T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 70°F, 8mph N (blowing in)
Model finds lean 13.0% edge in this matchup
Forecast: New York Mets -1.5
Model Edge: 13.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels
Joe Ryan vs Reid Detmers · 2026-09-20T01:38Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 75°F, 7mph SW (calm), 62% humidity
Away traveled 1514mi
Forecast: UNDER 7.0
Model Edge: 12.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Matthew Boyd vs Nick Lodolo · 2026-09-19T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 78°F, 5mph W (calm), 83% humidity
Model finds lean 11.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Model Edge: 11.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
Payton Tolle vs Freddy Peralta · 2026-09-19T20:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Model finds lean 10.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 7.5
Model Edge: 10.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.2
Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres
Eury Pérez vs Casey Mize · 2026-09-20T00:40Z
MEDIUM
LEAN
–
warning 74°F, 7mph W (calm), 67% humidity
Away traveled 2266mi
Forecast: San Diego Padres -1.5
Model Edge: 8.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 4 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
- Strongest signal: PHI at NYM with 13.0% model edge
- 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot
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