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Sunday, September 20, 2026

5 games on the slate · 3 high-confidence games

● 3 High ● 2 Medium ● 0 Low

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

Martín Pérez vs Hunter Brown · 2026-09-20T18:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 14.8% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 14.8% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians

Jack Perkins vs Gavin Williams · 2026-09-20T17:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 68°F, 6mph NE (calm), 89% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 1.6 points favors the home starter. away traveled 2151mi

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 Model Edge: 14.6% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

Patrick Sandoval vs Griffin Jax · 2026-09-20T17:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning Dome — weather neutral

Model finds lean 10.6% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 10.6% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

Troy Melton vs Davis Martin · 2026-09-20T18:10Z

MEDIUM LEAN – warning 66°F, 16mph NE (crosswind), 93% humidity

Weather factor in play (66°f)

Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5 Model Edge: 9.9% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres

Sandy Alcantara vs Walker Buehler · 2026-09-20T20:10Z

MEDIUM LEAN – warning 73°F, 7mph SW (calm), 75% humidity

Away traveled 2266mi

Forecast: San Diego Padres -1.5 Model Edge: 7.8% Unit Sizing: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 3 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
  • Strongest signal: ATL at HOU with 14.8% model edge

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