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Tuesday, September 22, 2026

5 games on the slate · 5 high-confidence games

● 5 High ● 0 Medium ● 0 Low

Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles

Max Scherzer vs Chris Bassitt · 2026-09-22T22:35Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 58°F, 11mph NE (blowing in), 89% humidity

Model finds lean 19.2% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Baltimore Orioles -1.5 Model Edge: 19.2% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves

Brandon Williamson vs JR Ritchie · 2026-09-22T23:15Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 76°F, 2mph NW (calm), 90% humidity

Model finds lean 18.6% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Model Edge: 18.6% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers

Jackson Kent vs Drew Anderson · 2026-09-22T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 62°F, 9mph NE (crosswind), 71% humidity

Weather factor in play (62°f)

Forecast: Detroit Tigers -1.5 Model Edge: 17.3% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees

Nick Martinez vs Carlos Rodón · 2026-09-22T17:05Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 60°F, 7mph NE (calm), 77% humidity

Model finds lean 17.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: New York Yankees -1.5 Model Edge: 17.1% Unit Sizing: 0.4

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Michael King vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 2026-09-23T02:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 69°F, 6mph W (calm), 77% humidity

Model finds lean 15.6% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 15.6% Unit Sizing: 0.35

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 5 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
  • Strongest signal: TOR at BAL with 19.2% model edge
  • 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals

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