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Wednesday, September 23, 2026

6 games on the slate · 6 high-confidence games

● 6 High ● 0 Medium ● 0 Low

Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics

Walbert Ureña vs Jeffrey Springs · 2026-09-24T01:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 89°F, 3mph NW (calm)

Pitcher fip gap of 2.9 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Los Angeles Angels -1.5 Model Edge: 19.4% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves

Andrew Abbott vs Chris Sale · 2026-09-23T23:15Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 74°F, 10mph E (blowing in), 65% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 2.9 points favors the home starter

Forecast: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Model Edge: 19.2% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles

Max Scherzer vs Chris Bassitt · 2026-09-23T17:35Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 63°F, 12mph NE (blowing in), 75% humidity

Model finds lean 18.5% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Baltimore Orioles -1.5 Model Edge: 18.5% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox

Foster Griffin vs Sonny Gray · 2026-09-23T23:00Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 55°F, 8mph NE (blowing in), 69% humidity

Model finds lean 17.2% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Boston Red Sox -1.5 Model Edge: 17.2% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies

Logan Henderson vs Aaron Nola · 2026-09-23T22:40Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 64°F, 15mph NE (blowing in)

Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the away starter

Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Model Edge: 15.0% Unit Sizing: 0.05

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Robbie Ray vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 2026-09-24T02:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 70°F, 5mph W (calm), 80% humidity

Pitcher fip gap of 1.5 points favors the home starter

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 10.8% Unit Sizing: 0.2

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 6-game slate
  • Strongest signal: LAA at OAK with 19.4% model edge
  • 4 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
  • Model leans underdog in 2 high-edge spots

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