● 6 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Bryse Wilson vs Andrew Painter · 2026-09-24T22:05Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 64°F, 12mph NE (blowing in)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.1 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Model Edge: 19.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Nick Pivetta vs Tyler Glasnow · 2026-09-25T02:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 69°F, 6mph SW (calm), 89% humidity
Model finds lean 18.6% edge in this matchup
Forecast: UNDER 7.5
Model Edge: 18.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.35
Houston Astros @ Athletics
Peter Lambert vs Mason Barnett · 2026-09-25T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 87°F, 9mph SW (blowing out)
Pitcher fip gap of 3.4 points favors the away starter. weather factor in play (87°f)
Forecast: Houston Astros -1.5
Model Edge: 16.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Tanner Gordon · 2026-09-24T19:10Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 73°F, 8mph N (calm)
Model finds lean 12.3% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
Model Edge: 12.3%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox
Daniel Espino vs Ranger Suarez · 2026-09-24T22:45Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 56°F, 9mph NE (blowing in), 61% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 1.7 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Boston Red Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 11.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
Grayson Rodriguez vs Bryan Woo · 2026-09-25T01:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Seattle Mariners -1.5
Model Edge: 10.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.15
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 6 high-edge games across today's 6-game slate
- Strongest signal: MIL at PHI with 19.1% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 3 high-edge spots
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