● 5 High
● 0 Medium
● 0 Low
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays
Nick Lodolo vs Jose Soriano · 2026-09-25T23:07Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning Dome — weather neutral
Pitcher fip gap of 1.8 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5
Model Edge: 18.6%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies
Freddy Peralta vs Cristopher Sánchez · 2026-09-25T22:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 72°F, 14mph N (blowing in)
Model finds lean 17.2% edge in this matchup
Forecast: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
Model Edge: 17.2%
Unit Sizing: 0.5
Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox
David Peterson vs Brayan Bello · 2026-09-25T22:00Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 67°F, 16mph NE (blowing in)
Model finds lean 17.1% edge in this matchup
Forecast: OVER 6.5
Model Edge: 17.1%
Unit Sizing: 0.35
Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox
Tomoyuki Sugano vs Sean Burke · 2026-09-25T23:40Z
HIGH
LEAN
–
warning 59°F, 6mph E (calm), 71% humidity
Pitcher fip gap of 2.2 points favors the home starter
Forecast: Chicago White Sox -1.5
Model Edge: 17.0%
Unit Sizing: 0.25
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
Trevor Rogers vs Brendan Beck · 2026-09-25T23:05Z
HIGH
STRONG
–
warning 72°F, 17mph N (blowing in)
Pitcher fip gap of 2.0 points favors the away starter
Forecast: Baltimore Orioles +1.5
Model Edge: 15.4%
Unit Sizing: 0.4
psychologyWhat the Model Sees
- Model identified 5 high-edge games across today's 5-game slate
- Strongest signal: CIN at TOR with 18.6% model edge
- 3 games with notable weather impact on projected totals
- Model leans underdog in 1 high-edge spot
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