StatcastEdge Forecast Briefs

← All Briefs

Sunday, September 27, 2026

4 games on the slate · 3 high-confidence games

● 3 High ● 1 Medium ● 0 Low

Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox

Kyle Freeland vs Anthony Kay · 2026-09-27T19:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 63°F, 6mph NE (calm), 78% humidity

Model finds lean 15.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Chicago White Sox -1.5 Model Edge: 15.1% Unit Sizing: 0.5

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

Parker Messick vs Daniel Lynch IV · 2026-09-27T19:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 73°F, 2mph SW (calm), 80% humidity

Model finds lean 10.6% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 Model Edge: 10.6% Unit Sizing: 0.25

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

Michael Soroka vs Randy Vásquez · 2026-09-27T19:10Z

HIGH LEAN – warning 77°F, 6mph NW (calm), 79% humidity

Model finds lean 10.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: UNDER 8.0 Model Edge: 10.1% Unit Sizing: 0.2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies

Nick Martinez vs Zack Wheeler · 2026-09-27T19:05Z

MEDIUM LEAN – warning 62°F, 15mph N (blowing in), 91% humidity

Model finds lean 8.1% edge in this matchup

Forecast: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Model Edge: 8.1% Unit Sizing: 0.25

psychologyWhat the Model Sees

  • Model identified 3 high-edge games across today's 4-game slate
  • Strongest signal: COL at CWS with 15.1% model edge
  • 1 game with notable weather impact on projected totals

New forecasts every day at 9 AM ET — bookmark today’s page

Unlock all 4 forecasts

Every forecast, confidence note, and model context — $1 for 1 day, then $9.99/month unless canceled.